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Western Digital: Fiscal 3Q20 Financial Results

$4,2 billion revenue down 1% Q/Q and up 14% Y/Y, Q/Q sales at -12% for HDDs and +12% for SSDs

(in $ million) 3Q19 3Q20 9 mo. 19 9 mo. 20
Revenue 3,674 4,175 9,261 8,274
Growth   14%   -11%
Net income (loss) (581) 17 (557) (398)

Highlights
• 3FQ20 revenue was $4.2 billion, up 14% Y/Y. Data center devices and solutions revenue grew 22%, client devices grew 13%, and client solutions grew 2% Y/Y.
• 3FQ20 GAAP earnings-per-share (EPS) was $0.06 and non-GAAP EPS was $0.85. Both GAAP and non-GAAP EPS include $13 million cost of revenue impact due to Covid-19.
• Generated operating cash flow of $142 million and free cash flow of $176 million. Suspending our dividend to strengthen our reinvestment in growth and innovation and to support our ongoing deleveraging efforts.
• Expecting 4FQ20 revenue to be in the range of $4.25 to $4.45 billion with non-GAAP EPS in the range of $1.00 to $1.40. Non-GAAP EPS outlook anticipates the impacts due to Covid-19.

Western Digital Corp. reported fiscal third quarter 2020 financial results.

I joined Western Digital a little over a month ago because I have strong conviction in the digital transformation that is reshaping every industry, every company and how all of us live our daily lives,” said David Goeckeler, CEO. “While I couldn’t have anticipated the unprecedented series of events that have transpired, I’m very proud of how the company has responded to an extremely dynamic environment with dedicated focus both on our employees’ safety as well as delivering our market leading technology to our customers. As the only company in the world to provide a broad array of NAND flash, SS and HDDs solutions, I’m confident our innovation will drive significant new value for customers around the world.”

The company generated $142 million in cash from operations during 3FQ20 and ended the quarter with $2.9 billion of total cash and cash equivalents. It returned $149 million to shareholders through dividends and used $212 million to reduce debt. On February 13, 2020, it declared a cash dividend of $0.50 per share of common stock, which was paid to shareholders on April 17, 2020.

Going forward, it is suspending its dividend to strengthen its reinvestment in growth and innovation and to support our ongoing deleveraging efforts. It will reevaluate dividend policy as leverage ratios improve.

The firm is bringing next gen energy-assisted drives to market, as it recognized revenue for its 16TB and 18TB drives during the quarter. Customer interest in these products, specifically 18TB drive, is high, and the ramp is on schedule.

Customer acceptance of enterprise SSDs continued to grow. Latest 96-layer NVMe-based SSDs have completed more than 20 qualifications, with well over 100 qualifications in progress at multiple cloud and OEM customers worldwide.

Demand for notebook solutions was greater than expected due to the shift to working from home and e-learning. The firm experienced record client SSD revenue during 3FQ20 and expect continued growth in 4FQ20.

Desktop HDD revenue was down due to normal seasonality and the shift towards notebook solutions. In addition, smart video HDD demand was softer than expected as a result of Covid-19.

Mobile flash bit shipments remained modest in the quarter as the company strategically managed its exposure to this part of the market.

Retail was particularly affected by Covid-19, in a typically seasonally weaker quarter. As the firm approached the end of the quarter, it experienced a decline in demand from traditional brick and mortar retailers as they started to temporarily close their stores. While many retailers shifted to curbside pickup and began pushing sales through their online channels, it is expected that physical store closures will create a headwind in 4FQ20.

 

 

Comments

Revenue of $4,175 billion is down 1% sequentially and up 14% Q/Q, at mid-point of guidance provided last January.

Covid-19
CEO David Goeckeler says: "We encountered some supply disruptions in the quarter. However, due to the efforts of our operations team, we saw supply trends improve as the quarter progressed. We also incurred additional costs associated with logistics and other manufacturing activity."

Flash

  • Revenue was $2.1 billion, up 12% Q/Q and 28% Y/Y. ASPs are up 5% and bit shipments up 7% sequentially.
  • Looking into 4FQ20, demand for flash-based solutions remains strong, and it is anticipated that flash prices will rise on a sequential basis.
  • Flash is holding the greatest long-term growth opportunity for Western Digital
  • Q3F20 bit shipments were up 7% and ASP/GB up 5% Q/Q

Western Digital Fiscal 3q20 Financial Results F2

HDDs

  • Revenue was $2.1 billion, down 12% Q/Q and up 2% Y/Y
  • On a sequential basis, raised prices and the average price per drive increased 5% from $81 to $85
  • Exabyte shipments were down 6% Q/Q
  • Company recognized revenue shipments of 16TB and 18TB energy-assisted drives
  • Customer interest in 18TB drive is high
  • Demand for 14TB drives continues to be strong as this capacity point to continue to be leading drive at least through 3FQ20
  • Capacity enterprise exabyte shipments are over 50% Y/Y growth

Western Digital Fiscal 3q20 Financial Results F3


Western Digital Fiscal 3q20 Financial Results F1

Client devices
• Record client SSD revenue drove much of the sequential and Y/Y growth
• Flash pricing trending higher
• Strong demand for notebook solutions due to shift towards working from home and e-learning
• Weaker than expected demand in smart video due to Covid-19

Data center devices and solutions
• Enterprise SSDs gaining momentum; 96-layer NVMe-based SSDs have completed over 20 customer qualifications and over 100 are in progress
• Strong demand for 14TB drive
• Recognized revenue shipments of 16TB and 18TB energy assisted drives

Client Solutions
• Retail was affected by Covid-19, in a typically seasonally weaker quarter
• Brick and mortar operations were impacted due to Covid-19 related lockdowns
• Maintained brand position

Outlook
Expecting 4FQ20 revenue is to be in the range of $4.25 to $4.45 billion or up 2% to 7% sequentially. At mid-point it corresponds to a decrease of 1% to 2% for FY20 from FY19. It was -20% from FY18 to FY19.

Gross margin is expected to be between 29% and 31%. This range includes approximately $65 million in costs associated with the K1 fab. Company is also anticipating the impact of COVID-19.

HDD and flash revenue

in $ million 1FQ18 1FQ19 2FQ19
3FQ19
4FQ19
1FQ20
2FQ20
3FQ20
2Q20/3Q20 growth
HDD
2,610 2,494 2,060 2,064 2,128 2,408 2,396 2,114 -12%
Flash
2,571 2,534 2,173 1,610 1,506 1,632 1,838 2,061
12%

 

Exabyte metrics 1FQ19 2FQ19 3FQ19 4FQ19
1FQ20
2FQ20
3FQ20
Q/Q change in HDD exabytes sold (1) -6% -17% 13% 14% 23% -1% -6%
Q/Q change in flash exabytes sold (1) 28% 5% -5% -1% 9% 24% 7%
Q/Q change in total exabytes sold (1) -3% -15% 11% 12% 22% 1% -5%
Flash metrics 1FQ19 2FQ19 3FQ19 4FQ19
1FQ20
2FQ20
3FQ20
Q/Q change in ASP/GB (1) -16% -18% -23% -6% 0% -8% 5%

(1) Excludes licensing, royalties, and non-memory products.

Volume and HDD Share
(units in million)

  Client compute units (5)
Non-compute units (6)
Data centers units (7)
Total HDDs (8)
Exabytes
Shipped
ASP (9)
2FQ18
21.1 14.4 6.8 42.3
NA $63
3FQ18
17.6 11.2 7.6 36.4
NA $72
4FQ18
17.8 13.7 7.5 39.0
NA $70
1FQ19 16.3 11.2 6.6 34.1 103.3 $72
2FQ19
14.0 11.3 5.1 30.2
75.9
$67
3FQ19
12.9 9.3 5.6 27.8 97.5 $73
4FQ19
12.3 9.2 6.2 27.7 111.5 $75
1FQ20
12.9 8.9 7.5 29.3 131 $81
2FQ2
11.8 10.3 7.1 29.2 133.6 $81
3FQ20
9.3 8.0 7.3 24.4
125.6 $85
(5) Client compute products consist primarily of desktop and notebook HDDs, excluding those sold through retail channels
(6) Non-compute products consist of retail channel and consumer electronics HDDs
(7) Data center products consist of enterprise HDDs (high-capacity and performance) and enterprise systems
(8) HDD unit volume excludes data storage systems and media
(9) HDD ASP is calculated by dividing HDD revenue by HDD units. Data storage systems are excluded from this calculation, as data storage systems ASP is measured on a per system basis rather than a per drive basis

Seagate vs. WD for 3FQ20
(revenue and net income in $ million, units in million)

  Seagate WD % in favor
of WD
Revenue 2,718 4,175 53%
Net income 320 17 /19,
HDD shipped 32.4 24.4 -25%
Average GB/drive 4,100 5,148 26%
Exabytes shipped 120.2 125.6 4%
HDD ASP $86 $85 -1%

Earnings call transcript

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